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Treasury Yields During Recessions

Friday, May 26, 2023 Key Takeaways: Both longer-term Treasury yields and short-term Treasury yields tend to decline during recessions, but the effect is larger and more consistent with short-term Treasuries. Over the last eight recessions, the median maximum yield...

A Closer Look at Momentum

Wednesday, May 24, 2023 Key Takeaways: Momentum picked up steam for the S&P 500 last week until overhead resistance came into play at 4,200. Stocks have once again struggled to surpass this hurdle, although it shouldn’t be too surprising given … Continue...

Tuesday Fixed Income Quick Takes

Tuesday, May 23, 2023 U.S. Treasury yields are generally higher over the past week with the two-year trading around 4.4%. The 0.50% increase in the two-year yield since last Monday is largely due to markets pricing out rate cuts later … Continue reading...

Follow the Money

Friday, May 19, 2023 Key Takeaways: The pain trade for the broader market is higher as sentiment and positioning remain extremely bearish. Despite all the negativity, risk appetite appears to be building among hedge fund managers, who added exposure to … Continue...

Investor Sentiment Still Depressed by the Wall of Worry

Thursday, May 18, 2023 The latest weekly data from the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) showed individual investor sentiment is still at depressed levels. This is perhaps not surprising as investors have built up a “wall of worry” from … Continue...

Can Money Market Funds Sidestep a U.S. Default?

Tuesday, May 16, 2023 After years of waiting for cash to be a viable asset class again, investors have flocked into money market funds to take advantage of higher Treasury yields. In fact, with over $5 trillion in assets, money … Continue reading...

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